Prognostic Potential of Serum
Biomarkers as Predictors for Cardiovascular Complications and Disease
Progression in Chronic Kidney Disease Patients
Senthilkumar S*, Dhivya K
Department of Pharmaceutics, School of Pharmaceutical Sciences,
Vels Institute of Science Technology and Advanced Studies (VISTAS), VELS
University, Pallavaram, Chennai – 600117.
*Corresponding Author E-mail: sethusen@gmail.com
ABSTRACT:
Aim: Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) is
characterized by progressive loss of kidney function over a period of time. The
aim of the study is to determine the prognostic potential of serum biomarkers
for cardiovascular complications and disease progression in chronic kidney
disease patients.
Materials and Methods: This retrospective observational study was
carried out in the nephrology department of a multispecialty hospital for a
period of two months. Clinical and biochemistry reports of 499 CKD patients
were collected in designed case report forms. All statistical analysis was carried
out using International Business Machine (IBM) Statistical Package for Social
Sciences (SPSS) 17.0.
Results: A direct correlation was observed between
cardiac enzyme markers and phosphate levels. The product of Glycated Hemoglobin
(HbA1c) and number of years of Diabetes Mellitus (DM) as predictive risk
factors for development and progression of nephropathy (DN-CKD).
Conclusion: This study has attempted to evaluate
altered serum biomarkers as potential prognostic factors of cardiovascular
complication and progressive renal impairment in CKD patients. Further
prospective studies are required to gain deep insights into this and thereby
aid in making significant clinical decisions.
KEYWORDS: CKD,
cardiomyocyte injury, biomarkers, hyperphosphatemia, diabetes
INTRODUCTION:
Chronic Kidney Disease is characterized by progressive
loss of kidney function over a period of time. Progressive loss of kidney
function leads to uremic waste accumulation which is marked by elevated
endogenous renal parameters [1]. Diabetes mellitus is one of the major causes
of renal failure. Approximately 30% of patients with diabetic nephropathy
eventually progress to end-stage renal failure and the rest usually die from
cardiovascular disease before reaching end stage [2]. Azotemia in turn may
provoke diverse complications in other systems, the prime significant being
cardiovascular system [3]. In addition, altered hemodynamics and serum
biomarkers mark CKD stages and could therefore predict cardiovascular complications
and disease progression [4].
Absolute eosinophil count (AEC) is the product of
percentage eosinophils and white blood cell count and serves as a potential
indicator of cardiovascular complication. AEC increases with CKD progression:
higher AEC values being observed in stage IV and End Stage Renal Disease (ESRD)
patients. AEC values are also increased in CKD patients with cardiovascular
comorbidity [5, 6 ].
C-reactive protein (CRP) is a peptide that serves as
an acute phase inflammatory marker. Higher CRP values are known to be
associated with cardiovascular complications. However, being a macromolecular
peptide, filtration of CRP is decreased in progressive loss of kidney function.
Thus, increased CRP values are supposed to be observed in higher CKD stages and
could therefore predict CKD progression [7, 8]. Hence, we evaluated the
correlation of CRP levels with Glomerular Filtration Rate (GFR) which serves as
an endogenous marker of kidney function. D-dimer is a breakdown peptide formed from fibrinolysis. Elevated D-dimer,
prothrombin time values are observed in CKD patients due to platelet
dysfunction and thrombocytopenia [9]. Thus, evaluation of correlation of
D-dimer levels with GFR could serve as a predictive marker for CKD progression.
Further, platelet dysfunction may contribute to altered hemostasis and
therefore measuring D-dimer values could also be used for prognosis of vascular
and bleeding complications in CKD patients [10].
Diabetic nephropathy (DN) is major cause of CKD in
patients presented for renal replacement therapy. Increased systemic glucose
load contributes to renal tubular damage due to increase in the amount of
glucose presented to the kidneys for filtration [11, 12]. However, acute onset
of renal damage due to diabetes mellitus is not evident and occurs with
increase in number of years on DM. Thus, DM induced CKD stages may correlate to
some extent with blood sugar profile and duration of renal tubules exposed to
increased systemic glucose load. Decreased renal function contributes to
increase in electrolyte retention.
Hypertension is a common complication CKD. Besides
sodium and potassium, various other cationic electrolytes are retained in
systemic circulation, phosphorus being one such electrolyte. Hyperphosphatemia induces
cardiac myocyte damage [13, 14] and hence cardiac enzyme markers have been
shown to be increased in stage IV and stage V CKD patients. Thus, evaluation of
correlation between cardiac enzymes (Creatine Kinase MB [CK-MB], Creatine
Phosphokinase [CPK], Troponin T) and phosphorus in stage IV and ESRD patients
could provide potential prognostic markers for acute myocardial injury in CKD
patients. Hence the study was designed to determine the prognostic potential of
serum biomarkers for cardiovascular complications and disease progression in
chronic kidney disease patients.
MATERIALS
AND METHODS:
This retrospective observational study was carried out
in the nephrology department of a multispecialty hospital for a period of 2
months from January 2015-March 2015.The study protocol was approved by the
institutional ethics committee of Vels University (Approval no:
IEC/DOP/2015/05). Consent from the hospital authorities and nephrologists were
obtained before accessing the clinical records of patients. Clinical data was
recorded from the patient case sheets stored in medical records department of
the hospital whereas biochemical parameters were recorded from the laboratory
database. All the clinical and biochemistry data were recorded in a predesigned
case report form. 499 CKD patients who
fulfilled the inclusion and exclusion criterion were recruited retrospectively
for participation in the study. Patients of both gender who visited the
hospital for hemodialysis or routine investigation as instructed by the consulting
nephrologist were included whereas renal complications other than CKD such as
acute kidney injury, renal calculi and case sheets with insufficient clinical
data were excluded.
Statistical Analysis:
Determination of predictors of disease progression in
CKD patients with DM was done using logistic linear regression models.
Pearson’s correlation was used to determine the linear dependency of variables.
All statistical analyses were performed using IBM SPSS 17 statistics package.
RESULTS:
The study population for the retrospective analysis
included chronic kidney disease patients of both genders who visited the
hospital for any of the following reason: Hemodialysis or routine medical
checkup as instructed by the consulting nephrologist or any other comorbidity. Age wise distribution of patients considered
for the study is shown in Table 1. 64%
patients were males whereas 36% patients were females.
GFR is an endogenous marker of renal function that
requires 24 hours urine collection. However, GFR can theoretically be estimated
using the modification of diet in renal disease (MDRD) formula from serum
creatinine and age of the patient. CKD patients in the study have been
segregated into different GFR quartiles as shown in Table 2.
Table
1: Age Wise Segregation of CKD patients
Age Interval |
No. of
Patients (N=499) |
Percentage
(%) |
Mean |
SD |
Age
Quartiles |
Median Age |
11-20 |
13 |
2.61 |
17 |
2.07 |
13-20 |
17 |
21-30 |
24 |
4.81 |
26 |
2.38 |
21-30 |
25.5 |
31-40 |
49 |
9.82 |
35.97 |
3.15 |
31-40 |
37 |
41-50 |
69 |
13.83 |
46.44 |
2.52 |
41-50 |
47 |
51-60 |
146 |
29.26 |
55.58 |
2.84 |
51-60 |
55.5 |
61-70 |
116 |
23.25 |
65.25 |
2.56 |
61-70 |
65 |
71-80 |
59 |
11.82 |
75.45 |
2.35 |
71-80 |
75 |
81-90 |
23 |
4.61 |
83.68 |
2.80 |
81-90 |
82.5 |
Mean age = 55.87±15.59,
Median age = 57
Table
2: Segregation of Patients based on Estimated GFR
GFR(ml/min/1.73m2) |
NO.
OF PATIENTS (n=499) |
%
OF PATIENTS |
STAGE 1 |
9 |
2 |
STAGE 2 |
27 |
5 |
STAGE 3 |
80 |
16 |
STAGE 4 |
105 |
21 |
STAGE 5 |
278 |
56 |
TOTAL
NO. OF PATIENTS |
499 |
100 |
Figure 1: Co morbidity Wise Distribution
The co morbidities observed in renal
transplant recipients taken for the study are shown in Figure 1.
Estimated GFR was correlated with age to determine the
linear dependency using Pearson’s correlation. The results are shown in Figure
2.
Figure 2:
Correlation of Estimated GFR with Age ( Pearson’s Coefficient)
y = -1.1629x + 86.708 R² = - 0.8590, correlation significant at
0.01 level (two-tailed).
Figure 3: Correlation of
Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate with AEC
y = -7.4155x + 509.31 R² = -0.624 Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level
(2-tailed).
Significant inverse correlation was found between GFR
and age with a correlation coefficient of -0.8590 Estimated GFR was correlated
with AEC to determine the linear dependency using Pearson’s correlation. The
results are shown in Figure 3.
Significant inverse correlation was found between GFR
and AEC with a correlation coefficient of -0.624 Estimated GFR was correlated
with AEC in CKD patients with cardiovascular complications to determine the
linear dependency using Pearson’s correlation. The results are shown in Figure
4.
Figure 4: Correlation of
Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate with AEC in CKD patients with
cardiovascular complications
y = -8.4954x + 526.46 R² = -0.5896 Correlation is significant
at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
Figure 5: Correlation of
Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate with HbA1c
y = -0.174x + 13.532 R² =-0.786 Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level
(2-tailed).
Significant inverse correlation was found between GFR
and AEC with a correlation coefficient of -0.5896 Estimated GFR was correlated
with HbA1c to determine the linear dependency using Pearson’s correlation. The
results are shown in Figure 5.
Significant inverse correlation was found between GFR
and HbA1c with a correlation coefficient of -0.786 Logistic linear regression
models were used to determine the predictor of DN-CKD. The results are given in
Table 2 and the coefficients are summarized in Table 3.
Estimated GFR was correlated with CRP to determine the
linear dependency using Pearson’s correlation. The results are shown in Figure
6.
Table 2: MLR_ Predictors of
CKD Progression in DM Patients
Model Summary |
||||
Model |
R |
R Square |
Adjusted R Square |
Std. Error of the Estimate |
1 |
.944a |
.890 |
.890 |
4.2827946 |
a. Predictors: (Constant), Years on DM,
HbA1C |
Table 3: Coefficient of
Predictors of CKD Progression in DM Patients
Coefficients |
||||||
Model |
Unstandardized Coefficients |
Standardized Coefficients |
t |
Sig. |
||
B |
Std. Error |
Beta |
||||
1 |
(Constant) |
66.041 |
1.038 |
|
63.643 |
.000 |
Years on DM |
-1.538 |
.055 |
-.667 |
-27.905 |
.000 |
|
HbA1C |
-1.673 |
.108 |
-.370 |
-15.483 |
.000 |
|
Dependent Variable: GFR |
Figure 6: Correlation of
Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate with CRP
y = -1.0029x + 27.612 R² = -0.7844 Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level
(2-tailed).
Figure
7: Correlation of Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate with D-Dimer- Predictor
of Altered Hemostasis
y =
-120.7x + 3833.6 R² = -0.7172 Correlation is
significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
Significant inverse correlation was found between GFR
and CRP with a correlation coefficient of -0.7844 Estimated GFR was correlated
with D-Dimer to determine the linear dependency using Pearson’s correlation.
The results are shown in Figure 7.
Significant inverse correlation was found between GFR
and D-dimer with a correlation coefficient of -0.7172 Serum phosphorous was
correlated with cardiac enzymes to determine the linear dependency using
Pearson’s correlation. The results are shown in Table 4 and Figure 8, 9, 10.
Table 4: correlation of serum phosphorous with
cardiac enzymes
Parameter |
Correlation Coefficient |
CK-MB |
0.850* |
CPK-Total |
0.835* |
Troponin T |
0.581* |
CK-MB was found to be highly elevated when compared
with other cardiac enzymes with a correlation coefficient of 0.85
Figure 8: Correlation of Phosphorous with CK-MB
Significant positive correlation was found between
phosphorous and CK-MB with a correlation coefficient of 0.850
Figure 9: Correlation of Phosphorous with CPK-Total
Significant positive correlation was found between
phosphorous and CPK-Total with a
correlation coefficient of 0.835.
Figure
10: Correlation of Phosphorous with Troponin-T
Significant positive correlation was found between
phosphorous and CK-MB with a correlation coefficient of 0.581
DISCUSSION:
Renal function impairs as age progresses [15]. This is
marked by an increase in renal endogenous markers such as Serum creatinine and
Uremic accumulation. Thus a linear relationship exists between age and Serum
creatinine (Perfect positive correlation). However, under renal disease
conditions, the levels of endogenous markers follow non-linear kinetics and
hence a near positive or no correlation may only be observed when attempted to
linearly correlate age with endogenous marker levels. The near positive
correlation observed is attributed to hemodialysis and younger patients with
CKD stages above III. Diabetes mellitus is a condition characterized by
hyperglycemia and glycosuria. Increased systemic glucose load leads to increase
in amount of glucose presented to the renal tubules to be filtered. Thus,
progressive renal damage occurs with uncontrolled diabetes mellitus[16].
However, linear dependency of GFR cannot be observed
when correlated with systemic load of glucose as the univariate. Hence, the
product of number of years of diabetes and glycosylated hemoglobin was
correlated with estimated glomerular filtration rate. A near negative
correlation (near-inverse) was observed, suggesting that in diabetic patients,
uncontrolled hyperglycemia and number of years as predictive risk factors for
development and progression of nephropathy (DN-CKD). Cardiovascular complication such as
cholesterol embolization are often under diagnosed in chronic kidney disease patients
since they only clinically manifest as non-specific inflammatory responses such
as hypereosnophilia and elevated ESRD [5]. It has been reported that elevated
AEC values are observed in patients with higher CKD stages. Hence we statistically correlated calculated
AEC values with GFR in CKD patients. In contrast to the expected result, AEC
was found to be significantly elevated in stage IV and ESRD patients with
cardiovascular complications and decreasing renal function. Thus, AEC could be
used to prognoses developing cardiovascular complications in CKD patients and
also monitor disease progression. Thrombocytopenia, glomerular thrombosis and
thrombi in small arteries and glomerular capillaries are common pathologic
features of CKD. Platelet dysfunction in CKD and ESRD is also due to both intrinsic
platelet abnormalities and impaired platelet vessel-wall interaction [9].
Nearly 60% of patients with a central venous catheter for dialysis develop
thrombosis. Disturbance of coagulation and fibrinolysis has been reported in
patients with chronic kidney disease [17].
It is reasonable to assume that the higher levels of D dimer are
primarily as a result of increased fibrin clot formation and breakdown.
The increased thrombogenic state may be related to
increased susceptibility to vascular disease in these patients. Correlation of
observed d-dimer values of with GFR in CKD patients with atherosclerosis of
coronary arteries showed an inverse correlation. Hence D-dimer is a potential
marker for predict vascular complications in CKD patients. CRP is an acute
phase inflammatory marker whose values are known to be elevated in patients
with atherogenic diseases. However, being a macromolecular peptide its
clearance is reduced in CKD patients. We have observed near inverse correlation
between CRP and GFR in a very limited sample of CKD patients with co-morbid CAD
[7]. However, these CRP values may duly be influenced by comorbid CAD, and
hence further prospective studies are required to evaluate the effectiveness of
CRP in predicting CKD progression. A direct correlation was observed between
cardiac enzyme markers and phosphate levels, suggestive of increased phosphate
retention with progressive renal impairment.
CONCLUSION:
Chronic kidney disease is often associated with
various cardiovascular complications besides renal insufficiency. Various
hemodynamic and peptide markers are altered in chronic kidney disease due to
impaired clearance and comorbid secondary complications. This study has
attempted to evaluate altered serum biomarkers as potential prognostic factors
of cardiovascular complication and progressive renal impairment in CKD
patients. Further prospective studies are required to gain deep insights into
this and thereby aid in making significant clinical decisions.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT:
The authors are thankful to the management of Vels
University for providing excellent research support and encouragement.
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Received on 21.12.2015 Modified on 10.12.2015
Accepted on 23.01.2016 © RJPT All right reserved
Research J. Pharm.
and Tech. 9(3): Mar., 2016; Page 227-234
DOI: 10.5958/0974-360X.2016.00041.X